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'Be Careful, You Are Speaking to Arafat'
By Max Boot, Wall Street Journal
14 December 1998
AMMAN, Jordan -- President Clinton's helicopter is scheduled to
land today at Yasser Arafat International Airport -- a k a the Gaza
strip -- putting the official imprimatur of the U.S. on a nascent
Palestinian state run by a dictator who names airports after
himself. What's often forgotten is that a few miles to the east;
Jordan actually has more citizens of Palestinian origin -- about
three million -- than the West Bank and Gaza Strip combined.
Last week a small group of journalists and policy analysts
organized by the Washington Institute for Near East Policy met
separately with the leaders of both "Palestinian" states. It was quite
a telling contrast.
Crown Prince Hassan -- Jordan's regent while his brother, King
Hussein, recuperates in the U.S. from cancer treatment -- is a
polo-playing Oxonian with a well-cut double-breasted suit and a
hearty laugh. During a sumptuous dinner at his palace, the king's
family is charming and informal. In their mainly British accents
they talk candidly about their country's problems and potential.
Yasser Arafat, by contrast, still acts like a graduate of the Saddam
Hussein charm school. He showed up for a bizarre midnight
interview at his Ramallah, West Bank, compound on Dec. 8
wearing his trademark military fatigues, and proceeded to treat the
assembled visitors like disobedient soldiers.
Eyes Bulging
Asked why a Palestinian constitution posted on the Internet still
calls for the "eradication of Zionist ... existence," Mr. Arafat
denounces the document as a lie written by an "idiot" aide to
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. "Be careful when you
are speaking to me!" Mr. Arafat adds menacingly, eyes bulging,
finger wagging. "Be careful, you are speaking to Arafat!"
So why is the thuggish Palestinian Authority chairman, but not the
jovial crown prince, favored with a presidential visit? That
question speaks volumes about how skewed U.S. policy on the
Middle East "peace process" has become. The U.S. seems in danger
of forgetting who its real friends in the region are -- and they
most certainly don't include Mr. Arafat.
The Palestinian Authority chairman has taken about $2.5 billion
from the West in recent years, and the U.S. has just organized
another $3 billion in pledges. Yet according to the PA's own
auditors, up to 40% of Mr. Arafat's budget has been stolen or
misused. Meanwhile, Mr. Arafat has flouted his treaty obligations
whenever it suits his purpose to do so. Just in the weeks leading
up to the presidential visit, the PA chairman has:
Incited and perhaps even organized rioting in his territories in
order to pressure Israel into releasing hundreds of Palestinian
prisoners with "blood on their hands." After the State Department
publicly stated that Israel had kept its treaty commitments on
prisoners, Nabil Shaath, a top Arafat aide, told our group the U.S.
was "vile."
Threatened unilaterally to declare a Palestinian state encompassing
all of the West Bank and part of Jerusalem on May 5, when the
interim negotiating period under the Oslo accord expires. Israel
would view such a declaration as a casus belli.
Refused to root out the "infrastructure" supporting Hamas suicide
bombers, as called for under the Wye River Accord. Last
Wednesday our group of journalists was able to visit the Gaza
headquarters of Ismail Abu Shanab, a leading Hamas figure.
Sitting in front of a Hamas seal, Mr. Shanab warned that his
organization might target "the ugly face of American intelligence"
-- CIA agents whose participation in the peace process Mr. Arafat
himself welcomed.
To be sure, King Hussein of Jordan also doesn't have a spotless
record in cracking down on Hamas. A senior Israeli military
official reports that Hamas leaders based in Amman were involved
in a plot, foiled by Israel just before the Wye conference, to kill
many Israeli civilians with explosives. And of course during the
Gulf War, King Hussein -- keeping a wary eye on 100,000 Iraqis in
his country -- felt obliged to support his neighborhood bully,
Saddam Hussein. But when it comes to fighting terrorism, Israeli
officials offer far more praise for Jordan's efforts than those of the
Palestinian Authority.
Jordan's army emphasized its crucial role in keeping the peace by
helicoptering our group of scribblers to Umm Qais in the "killing
zone" where Israel, Jordan and Syria meet. The Jordanian army
claims that since 1990 it has intercepted more than 700 infiltration
attempts from Syria aimed at smuggling illegal weapons into Israel
and the West Bank. Farther east, along the Iraqi border, a
Jordanian armored division was involved in intense firefights this
summer against well-armed, well-organized gangs of smugglers
trying to bring in everything from contraband sheep to drugs and
ammunition.
In the strategic calculus of the Middle East, Jordan is a small but
valuable counterweight to missile-toting bullies like Syria, Iraq
and Iran. Along with Israel and Turkey, Jordan is part of a de
facto pro-Western alliance.
The biggest threat to this regional buffer zone is none other than
Mr. Arafat. In 1970 the PLO tried to take over Jordan, only to be
put down by King Hussein's security forces during "Black
September." Today the two sides still view each other with
suspicion; Palestinians and Jordanians are competing for control
of the wakf (religious endowment) that runs Islamic holy sites in
Jerusalem.
The prospect of King Yasser ruling Jordan terrifies Israeli security
officials -- and it should. The Hashemite regime is only a bit more
secure than King Hussein's fragile health. The king, who has ruled
since 1953, has been able to win the affection of his citizens
through a mix of charisma, crafty maneuvering and occasional
displays of toughness. Nobody knows whether Crown Prince
Hassan or the next generation of Hashemites will be adroit enough
to keep the allegiance of their Palestinian subjects. Should the
Hashemites fall, the result could be an Iraqi or Syrian ascendancy
stretching to the gates of Jerusalem.
The key to heading off such a dire development is, well, economic
development. Jordanians grumble that they have yet to reap the
economic benefits of peace with Israel. While Jordan has lost
access to the Iraqi and Gulf markets since the Gulf War, it has yet
to establish significant trade with the West Bank or Israel.
Jordanians like to blame Israeli trade barriers, but they should also
look inward: Jordan's economic backwardness is due to its
socialist economy. Not even the telephones (a state monopoly)
work properly; Jordan is one of the few countries on earth where
an AT&T calling card can't be used.
'Hostility Dissipates Quickly'
One of the few bright spots on Jordan's bleak economic horizon is
near the northern town of Irbid, home to a Qualifying Industrial
Zone, where Jordanian and Israeli companies cooperate in
producing goods that are shipped duty-free to the U.S. (but not to
the protectionist European Union). A Palestinian manager at an
underwear factory here, partially owned by an Israeli firm, is the
daughter of a leading Islamic radical. "Such ventures normalize
hostile impulses," says Omar Z. Salah, the ebullient young
Jordanian who founded the company. "Hostility dissipates very
quickly."
But economic development is a long-term process. In the short
term, the U.S. needs to do all it can to bolster the Hashemite
regime. That includes providing more military aid to Jordan,
whose underfunded army needs to replace aging equipment.
Perhaps the money can come from the generous U.S. aid package
to Israel, which has 5.5 million people to Jordan's 4.3 million, but
whose economy is more than four times the size of Jordan's.
Above all, the U.S. should be careful to send public signals that
bolster the Hashemite regime and don't unduly help its brutish
rivals in the West Bank and Gaza Strip. When dealing with the
Palestinians, Americans should heed some important words of
advice: "Be careful."
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