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A Guarantee of More Violence
By Charles Krauthammer June 19, 2002
To view the entire article, go to The Washington Post
Whenever a massacre occurs in Israel, Palestinian spokesmen rush out
to say: "Yes, this is terrible, but this is what happens when you have a
people with no hope for an end to the occupation." Apologists in the
West invariably echo this exculpation/explanation.
Of all the mendacity that pollutes Middle Eastern discourse, this is
the worst. It assumes that the listener is not only stupid but also
amnestic. Two years ago at the Camp David summit, in the presence of the
president of the United States, the Palestinians were offered an end to
the occupation -- a total end, a final end -- by the prime minister of
Israel. They said no. They said no because in return, they were asked
to make peace.
Remember? The mantra thrown at the Israelis for decades was "land for
peace." It turns out Arafat wanted the land, but at Camp David, as
always, he refused to make peace. The reason innocents are dying every day
is not because of the occupation but because the Palestinians believe
they can get (as Hezbollah got in Lebanon) land without peace.
And why should they not believe it? The State Department wants to
give them exactly that. The way out of the Middle East morass, Colin
Powell has urged the president, is to give the Palestinians a "light at the
end of the tunnel" by giving them their own "interim" or "provisional"
Palestinian state -- even as the massacres continue, like the blowing
to bits of 26 Jerusalemites in two consecutive suicide bombings this
week .
This rewarding of terrorism is not just a moral scandal. It is
disastrous diplomacy. What does this provisional state say to the
Palestinians? You can reject the state you were offered two years ago, start a war,
murder daily and then be re-offered a state -- this time without even
having to be asked to make peace.
For an American foreign policy whose major objective is stability and
nonviolence (if for no other reason than to give us freedom of action
elsewhere in the region to fight terrorism), one could not devise a
worse policy. If two years of blood-letting gives the Palestinians an
interim state -- without even a simple cease-fire, let alone a real peace --
what possible disincentive do they have to continue the violence?
Statehood before peace is guaranteed to increase the violence. After
all, what does "provisional statehood" mean? There has never been a
"provisional state." Powell will have to make the concept up as he goes
along. But if statehood means anything, it means three things:
(1) Territorial inviolability. Today terrorism is reduced (Israel
stops 90 percent of planned attacks) because the Israeli army goes into
Palestinian territories to seize and stop terrorists. After statehood,
this becomes an invasion of another country. The terrorists will have
sanctuary. Every time Israel pursues them, the Security Council will be
called into emergency session, and America will be censured unless it
condemns this Israeli "invasion." The net effect will be more terrorism
and increased resentment of American diplomacy.
(2) Arms. The basic premise of American policy for 25 years has been
that the only way to ensure peace is to have a demilitarized
Palestinian entity. Sure, in offering "provisional statehood" the United States
will insist on limits to Palestine's buildup of weapons. These limits
will be broken as surely as were the limits on the Palestinian "police"
that were in the Oslo accords. But it will be worse. Once you have
statehood, the Palestinians will say that every self-respecting state has
the right to arm itself as it wishes. Why not Palestine? The West Bank
will bristle not just with the weapons of guerrilla war (machine guns and
car bombs), but the weapons of regional war: Katyusha rockets and
antiaircraft missiles. What do you think happens when civilian planes trying
to land at Ben Gurion Airport come under fire from such an armed
Palestinian state?
(3) Alliances. A basic attribute of statehood is the right to
contract alliances. Even before statehood, Arafat secretly allied himself with
Iran and Hezbollah. With statehood, he will be able to do so openly.
And what do we do when he declares alliance with Syria or Iraq and
invites their tank armies into the West Bank to protect Palestine from
Israeli "aggression"?
Provisional statehood is folly. For the United States to offer it
constitutes a moral and strategic collapse. It is a way to give the
Palestinians their goals without even the pretense of asking them to put down
the gun.
Statehood for the Palestinians is a foregone conclusion. The only
question today is whether they get it while they continue to massacre Jews
or only after they have abjured massacres. Land for peace. Remember?
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