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The Oslo trap
By Ari Shavit
(Haaretz 2/9/99)
(Ari Shavit is a free thinker leftist journalist)
What has been happening to Israel's Prime ministers in recent years is
cause for concern. So much so, indeed, that it sometimes seems that the
fate of the Jewish state's leaders at the end of the millennium
resembles that of the Kennedy family. Consider: Within the space of less than
four years one Israeli prime minister was assassinated, a second was
shattered politically and a third suffered a humiliating defeat. And now, just
when it seemed that the worst was behind us, just when it seemed that Israel
could take wing, it emerges that a suffocating ring of sourness and
disappointment is beginning to take its toll on a fourth prime
minister, a man of acute intelligence and a glory-filled past. Yet his first
diplomatic move, the results of which are supposed to be signed today, appears
highly puzzling from start to finish and proves only that even Ehud Barak is
already becoming entangled in the same political and diplomatic web in
which his three predecessors were fatally ensnared. No black magic is
involved here, no kabbalistic mumbo jumbo. Neither witchcraft nor curse
has afflicted Israel's prime ministers in recent years. What has afflicted
them is the profound duality of the peace process as it was shaped from 1993
to 1995. That duality is manifested in the fact that the process threatens
to freeze any leader who tries to escape its clutches to death (see the
case of Benjamin Netanyahu), while at the same time it threatens to consume
in flames any leader who devotes himself to it (see the cases of Yitzhak
Rabin and Shimon Peres). It is a duality that is expressed in a process that
obliges the Israeli navigators to move full speed ahead on a route that
has been marked out in advance, yet provides no guarantee that the route
will not lead to the edge of a cliff. And it is a duality that, time after
time, causes the process to demonstrate that it is (almost) inevitable even
when it is (almost) impossible. Every new Israeli Prime Minister finds
himself trapped in the same net in which his predecessors also fluttered
helplessly.
The source of the trap is this: Exactly six years ago, in August and
September of 1993, the Rabin government made three colossal mistakes.
The first mistake was the decision to recognize the Palestinian-Arab
people, its legitimate rights in this land and its national movement, without
obtaining recognition of the parallel rights of the Jewish-Israeli
people in return. The second mistake was the decision to give the Palestine
Liberation Organization control over most of the occupied territories
before negotiations over a permanent settlement had begun and before
the PLO conceded so much as one inch of the soil of Palestine. And the
third mistake was the "hypothetical" message that Yitzhak Rabin conveyed to
Hafez Assad in August 1993 - a message that gave the Syrians the impression
That Israel had agreed to withdraw to the boundary lines of June 4, 1967.
The cumulative result of these three structural mistakes, which
Occurred within the space of just a few weeks at the end of the summer of 1993,
Was devastating. What happened was that when the peace process finally got
underway, it had a congenital defect. The process places Israel in the
permanent and inferior position of a debtor whose creditor-neighbors
keep pounding relentlessly on its gates.
Israel's Prime ministers from Rabin onward were quick to grasp the
implications of the 1993 mistakes. They grasped quickly that whereas
the peace process itself is essential, its concomitant texts jeopardize
Israel. Therefore all of them, in truth, tried, to one degree or another, to
Renege on the texts. Immediately after letting the horses escape from the
stable, Israel's leaders found themselves wandering about the fields searching
for those horses. So on the Syrian track they tried for six consecutive
years to bypass the quasi-promise that was conveyed mistakenly to Damascus.
On the Palestinian track they tried to rectify in the Cairo agreement the
mistake they made at Oslo, and in the Hebron agreement they tried to
set right the mistake of Cairo, and at Wye the mistake of Hebron. And now
they have set about trying to correct Wye.
They are doing everything in their power to avoid paying the bills they
signed; everything in their power to avoid turning over to the
Palestinians what the Oslo accord effectively promises them.
This is a hopeless strategy. True, it creates brief respites and
Marginal tactical advantages, but it does not address the cardinal issue.
Instead of trying to correct the mistakes of 1993 and create a more balanced
process, which will impose substantive obligations on the Palestinians, too,
Israel is in practice trying to suspend the process. By repeatedly trying to
postpone target dates and avoid fulfilling written commitments, Israel
is actually trying to give little, and slowly; whereas the proper, right
and just thing to do would be to take the opposite approach of demanding a
lot and fast.
It must be demanded that the Palestinians recognize the Jewish-Israeli
people and its right to self-determination in its own nation-state;
that they abandon every claim to sovereign Israeli territory; and to forsake
the realization of the right of return. It must be made clear to the
Palestinians that only if they do all this will they find a partner who
will faithfully execute its part in the agreement. A partner who will
not create difficulties or resort to stratagems, but will by itself and of
its own volition move to end the occupation as quickly as possible
© copyright 1999 Ha'aretz. All Rights Reserved
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